Quadratic estimation for stochastic systems in the presence of random parameter matrices, time-correlated additive noise and deception attacks

This research was suported by the ``Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación, Agencia Estatal de Investigación'' of Spain and the European Regional Development Fund [grant number PID2021-124486NB-I00].Networked systems usually face different random uncertainties that make the performance of the least-squares (LS) linear filter decline significantly. For this reason, great attention has been paid to the search for other kinds of suboptimal estimators. Among them, the LS quadratic estimation approach has attracted considerable interest in the scientific community for its balance between computational complexity and estimation accuracy. When it comes to stochastic systems subject to different random uncertainties and deception attacks, the quadratic estimator design has not been deeply studied. In this paper, using covariance information, the LS quadratic filtering and fixed-point smoothing problems are addressed under the assumption that the measurements are perturbed by a time-correlated additive noise, as well as affected by random parameter matrices and exposed to random deception attacks. The use of random parameter matrices covers a wide range of common uncertainties and random failures, thus better reflecting the engineering reality. The signal and observation vectors are augmented by stacking the original vectors with their second-order Kronecker powers; then, the linear estimator of the original signal based on the augmented observations provides the required quadratic estimator. A simulation example illustrates the superiority of the proposed quadratic estimators over the conventional linear ones and the effect of the deception attacks on the estimation performance.Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación MICINNEuropean Regional Development Fund PID2021-124486NB-I00 ERDFAgencia Estatal de Investigación AE

Two Compensation Strategies for Optimal Estimation in Sensor Networks with Random Matrices, Time-Correlated Noises, Deception Attacks and Packet Losses

Due to its great importance in several applied and theoretical fields, the signal estimation problem in multisensor systems has grown into a significant research area. Networked systems are known to suffer random flaws, which, if not appropriately addressed, can deteriorate the performance of the estimators substantially. Thus, the development of estimation algorithms accounting for these random phenomena has received a lot of research attention. In this paper, the centralized fusion linear estimation problem is discussed under the assumption that the sensor measurements are affected by random parameter matrices, perturbed by time-correlated additive noises, exposed to random deception attacks and subject to random packet dropouts during transmission. A covariance-based methodology and two compensation strategies based on measurement prediction are used to design recursive filtering and fixed-point smoothing algorithms. The measurement differencing method— typically used to deal with the measurement noise time-correlation—is unsuccessful for these kinds of systems with packet losses because some sensor measurements are randomly lost and, consequently, cannot be processed. Therefore, we adopt an alternative approach based on the direct estimation of the measurement noises and the innovation technique. The two proposed compensation scenarios are contrasted through a simulation example, in which the effect of the different uncertainties on the estimation accuracy is also evaluated.Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovacion, Agencia Estatal de InvestigacionEuropean Commission PID2021-124486NB-I0

Unscented Filtering from Delayed Observations with Correlated Noises

A filtering algorithm based on the unscented transformation is proposed to estimate the state of a nonlinear system from noisy measurements which can be randomly delayed by one sampling time. The state and observation noises are perturbed by correlated nonadditive noises, and the delay is modeled by independent Bernoulli random variables.This work has been partially supported by the Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación and the Junta de Andalucía through Projects MTM2008-05567 and P07-FQM-02701, respectively

Centralized filtering and smoothing algorithms from outputs with random parameter matrices transmitted through uncertain communication channels

The least-squares linear centralized estimation problem is addressed for discrete-time signals from measured outputs whose disturbances are modeled by random parameter matrices and correlated noises. These measurements, coming from different sensors, are sent to a processing center to obtain the estimators and, due to random transmission failures, some of the data packet processed for the estimation may either contain only noise (uncertain observations), be delayed (sensor delays) or even be definitely lost (packet dropouts). Different sequences of Bernoulli random variables with known probabilities are employed to describe the multiple random transmission uncertainties of the different sensors. Using the last observation that successfully arrived when a packet is lost, the optimal linear centralized fusion estimators, including filter, multi-step predictors and fixed-point smoothers, are obtained via an innovation approach; this approach is a general and useful tool to find easily implementable recursive algorithms for the optimal linear estimators under the least-squares optimality criterion. The proposed algorithms are obtained without requiring the evolution model of the signal process, but using only the first and second-order moments of the processes involved in the measurement model.This research is supported by Ministerio de Economía, Industria y Competitividad, Agencia Estatal de Investigaciónand Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional FEDER (grant no. MTM2017-84199-P)

A new estimation algorithm from measurements with multiple-step random delays and packet dropouts

The least-squares linear estimation problem using covariance information is addressed in discrete-time linear stochastic systems with bounded random observation delays which can lead to bounded packet dropouts. A recursive algorithm, including the computation of predictor, filter, and fixed-point smoother, is obtained by an innovation approach. The random delays are modeled by introducing some Bernoulli random variables with known distributions in the system description. The derivation of the proposed estimation algorithm does not require full knowledge of the state-space model generating the signal to be estimated, but only the delay probabilities and the covariance functions of the processes involved in the observation equation.This research is supported by Ministerio de Educación y Ciencia (Grant no. MTM2008-05567) and Junta de Andalucía (Grant no. P07-FQM-02701)

Fusion Estimation from Multisensor Observations with Multiplicative Noises and Correlated Random Delays in Transmission

In this paper, the information fusion estimation problem is investigated for a class of multisensor linear systems affected by different kinds of stochastic uncertainties, using both the distributed and the centralized fusion methodologies. It is assumed that the measured outputs are perturbed by one-step autocorrelated and cross-correlated additive noises, and also stochastic uncertainties caused by multiplicative noises and randomly missing measurements in the sensor outputs are considered. At each sampling time, every sensor output is sent to a local processor and, due to some kind of transmission failures, one-step correlated random delays may occur. Using only covariance information, without requiring the evolution model of the signal process, a local least-squares (LS) filter based on the measurements received from each sensor is designed by an innovation approach. All these local filters are then fused to generate an optimal distributed fusion filter by a matrix-weighted linear combination, using the LS optimality criterion. Moreover, a recursive algorithm for the centralized fusion filter is also proposed and the accuracy of the proposed estimators, which is measured by the estimation error covariances, is analyzed by a simulation example.This research is supported by Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad and Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional FEDER (grant No. MTM2014-52291-P)

Networked fusion estimation with multiple uncertainties and time-correlated channel noise

This paper is concerned with the fusion filtering and fixed-point smoothing problems for a class of networked systems with multiple random uncertainties in both the sensor outputs and the transmission connections. To deal with this kind of systems, random parameter matrices are considered in the mathematical models of both the sensor measurements and the data available after transmission. The additive noise in the transmission channel from each sensor is assumed to be sequentially time-correlated. By using the time-differencing approach, the available measurements are transformed into an equivalent set of observations that do not depend on the timecorrelated noise. The innovation approach is then applied to obtain recursive distributed and centralized fusion estimation algorithms for the filtering and fixed-point smoothing estimators of the signal based on the transformed measurements, which are equal to the estimators based on the original ones. The derivation of the algorithms does not require the knowledge of the signal evolution model, but only the mean and covariance functions of the processes involved (covariance information). A simulation example illustrates the utility and effectiveness of the proposed fusion estimation algorithms, as well as the applicability of the current model to deal with different network-induced random phenomena.This research is supported by Ministerio de Economía, Industria y Competitividad, Agencia Estatal de Investigación and Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional FEDER (grant no. MTM2017-84199-P)

A new approach to distributed fusion filtering for networked systems with random parameter matrices and correlated noises

This paper is concerned with the distributed filtering problem for a class of discrete-time stochastic systems over a sensor network with a given topology. The system presents the following main features: (i) random parameter matrices in both the state and observation equations are considered; and (ii) the process and measurement noises are one-step autocorrelated and two-step cross-correlated. The state estimation is performed in two stages. At the first stage, through an innovation approach, intermediate distributed least-squares linear filtering estimators are obtained at each sensor node by processing available output measurements not only from the sensor itself but also from its neighboring sensors according to the network topology. At the second stage, noting that at each sampling time not only the measurement but also an intermediate estimator is available at each sensor, attention is focused on the design of distributed filtering estimators as the least-squares matrix-weighted linear combination of the intermediate estimators within its neighborhood. The accuracy of both intermediate and distributed estimators, which is measured by the error covariance matrices, is examined by a numerical simulation example where a four-sensor network is considered. The example illustrates the applicability of the proposed results to a linear networked system with state-dependent multiplicative noise and different network-induced stochastic uncertainties in the measurements; more specifically, sensor gain degradation, missing measurements and multiplicative observation noises are considered as particular cases of the proposed observation model.This research is supported by Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad and Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional FEDER (grant no. MTM2014- 52291-P, MTM2017-84199-P)

Centralized, distributed and sequential fusion estimation from uncertain outputs with correlation between sensor noises and signal

This paper focuses on the least-squares linear fusion filter design for discrete-time stochastic signals from multisensor measurements perturbed not only by additive noise, but also by different uncertainties that can be comprehensively modeled by random parameter matrices. The additive noises from the different sensors are assumed to be cross-correlated at the same time step and correlated with the signal at the same and subsequent time steps. A covariancebased approach is used to derive easily implementable recursive filtering algorithms under the centralized, distributed and sequential fusion architectures. Although centralized and sequential estimators both have the same accuracy, the evaluation of their computational complexity reveals that the sequential filter can provide a significant reduction of computational cost over the centralized one. The accuracy of the proposed fusion filters is explored by a simulation example, where observation matrices with random parameters are used to describe different kinds of sensor uncertainties.This research is supported by Ministerio de Economía, Industria y Competitividad, Agencia Estatal de Investigación and Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional FEDER [grant number MTM2017- 84199-P]

Optimal linear filter design for systems with correlation in the measurement matrices and noises: recursive algorithm and applications

This paper addresses the optimal least-squares linear estimation problem for a class of discrete-time stochastic systems with random parameter matrices and correlated additive noises. The system presents the following main features: (1) one-step correlated and cross-correlated random parameter matrices in the observation equation are assumed; (2) the process and measurement noises are one-step autocorrelated and two-step cross-correlated. Using an innovation approach and these correlation assumptions, a recursive algorithm with a simple computational procedure is derived for the optimal linear filter. As a significant application of the proposed results, the optimal recursive filtering problem in multi-sensor systems with missing measurements and random delays can be addressed. Numerical simulation examples are used to demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed filtering algorithm, which is also compared with other filters that have been proposed.Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación [FPU programme] [grant number MTM2011-24718